The ever more widespread use of microscopic traffic simulation in the analysis of road systems has re-focussed attention on sub-models, including car-following models. The difficulties of micro-simulation models in accurately reproducing real traffic phenomena stem not only from the complexity of calibration and validation operations but also from the structural inadequacy of the sub-models themselves. These drawbacks both originate in the scant information available on real phenomena, due to the difficulty of gathering accurate field data. In this study, the use of K-dGPS instruments allowed trajectories of four vehicles in a platoon to be accurately monitored in real traffic conditions, both on urban and extra-urban roads. Some of these data were used to analyse the behaviour of four microscopic traffic flow models which differed greatly both in approach and complexity. The effect on model calibration results of the choice of performance measures was first investigated and inter-vehicle spacing was shown to be the most reliable measure. Model calibrations showed results similar to those obtained in other studies that used test track data. Instead, validations resulted in higher deviations compared to previous studies (with peaks in cross-validations between urban and extra-urban experiments). This confirms the need for real traffic data. On comparison, all the models showed similar performances (i.e. similar deviations in validation). However, if surprisingly the simplest model performed on average better than the others, the most complex one was the most robust, never reaching particularly high deviations.

Analysis and comparison of microscopic traffic flow models with real traffic microscopic data / Punzo, Vincenzo; Simonelli, F.. - In: TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH RECORD. - ISSN 0361-1981. - 1934:(2005), pp. 53-63. [10.3141/1934-06]

Analysis and comparison of microscopic traffic flow models with real traffic microscopic data

PUNZO, VINCENZO;SIMONELLI F.
2005

Abstract

The ever more widespread use of microscopic traffic simulation in the analysis of road systems has re-focussed attention on sub-models, including car-following models. The difficulties of micro-simulation models in accurately reproducing real traffic phenomena stem not only from the complexity of calibration and validation operations but also from the structural inadequacy of the sub-models themselves. These drawbacks both originate in the scant information available on real phenomena, due to the difficulty of gathering accurate field data. In this study, the use of K-dGPS instruments allowed trajectories of four vehicles in a platoon to be accurately monitored in real traffic conditions, both on urban and extra-urban roads. Some of these data were used to analyse the behaviour of four microscopic traffic flow models which differed greatly both in approach and complexity. The effect on model calibration results of the choice of performance measures was first investigated and inter-vehicle spacing was shown to be the most reliable measure. Model calibrations showed results similar to those obtained in other studies that used test track data. Instead, validations resulted in higher deviations compared to previous studies (with peaks in cross-validations between urban and extra-urban experiments). This confirms the need for real traffic data. On comparison, all the models showed similar performances (i.e. similar deviations in validation). However, if surprisingly the simplest model performed on average better than the others, the most complex one was the most robust, never reaching particularly high deviations.
2005
Analysis and comparison of microscopic traffic flow models with real traffic microscopic data / Punzo, Vincenzo; Simonelli, F.. - In: TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH RECORD. - ISSN 0361-1981. - 1934:(2005), pp. 53-63. [10.3141/1934-06]
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11588/108879
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