Finite mixture regression identifies homogeneous groups within the a sam-ple and computes the regression coefficients in each group. Groups and group coefficients are jointly estimated using an iterative approach. This work extends the finite mixture estimator to the tails of the distribution, by incorporating quantiles and expectiles and relaxing the constraint of constant group probability adopted in previous analysis. The probability of each group depends on the selected location: an observation can be allo-cated in the best- performing group if we look at low values of the dependent variable, while at higher values it may be assigned to the poorly performing class. We explore two case studies: school data from a PISA math proficiency test and asset returns form from the Center for Research in Security Prices. In these real data examples, group classifica-tions change based on the selected location of the dependent variable, and this has an impact on the regression estimates due to the joint computation of class probabilities and class regressions coefficients. A Monte Carlo experiment is conducted to compare the per-formances of the discussed estimators with results of previous research.
Finite mixture at the quantiles and expectiles / Furno, Marilena. - In: JOURNAL OF RISK AND FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT. - ISSN 1911-8074. - 18:(2025), pp. 1-19. [10.3390/jrfm18040177]
Finite mixture at the quantiles and expectiles
Marilena Furno
2025
Abstract
Finite mixture regression identifies homogeneous groups within the a sam-ple and computes the regression coefficients in each group. Groups and group coefficients are jointly estimated using an iterative approach. This work extends the finite mixture estimator to the tails of the distribution, by incorporating quantiles and expectiles and relaxing the constraint of constant group probability adopted in previous analysis. The probability of each group depends on the selected location: an observation can be allo-cated in the best- performing group if we look at low values of the dependent variable, while at higher values it may be assigned to the poorly performing class. We explore two case studies: school data from a PISA math proficiency test and asset returns form from the Center for Research in Security Prices. In these real data examples, group classifica-tions change based on the selected location of the dependent variable, and this has an impact on the regression estimates due to the joint computation of class probabilities and class regressions coefficients. A Monte Carlo experiment is conducted to compare the per-formances of the discussed estimators with results of previous research.I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.


