An intelligent framework for predicting state war engagement from territorial data

Involvement of a state in a war is one of the risks that have a relevant impact on society. Effective prediction of the possibility that a state is going to engage in a war is an important decision support tool for avoiding international crisis and safeguarding social well-being. The paper presents the proposal of an intelligent framework aimed to predict the engagement of a state in a war by using national territorial data captured in a digital knowledge ecosystem composed of local business companies and corporations’ information systems. As shown by preliminary results, the proposed framework is feasible to achieve the designed goal. © Springer International Publishing AG 2017.